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Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Sat Mar 25 16:53:58 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 251654
SWODY2
SPC AC 251653

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1053 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SHORT-WAVE UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NRN ROCKIES AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD SHOULD REACH THE CENTRAL/NRN HIGH PLAINS BY LATE
AFTERNOON...AND THEN CONTINUE EWD INTO THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY REGION
BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...SURFACE LEE
TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD INTO/ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH 27/12Z.

...ERN HALF OF WY AND VICINITY...
COOL AIR ALOFT /-26 TO -28 C AT H5/ ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH
COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY YIELD
MINIMAL INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON.  A FEW WEAK/HIGH-BASED STORMS ARE
EXPECTED -- MAINLY OVER THE ERN HALF OF WY...BEFORE TROUGH SHIFTS
EWD INTO THE PLAINS. 

...KS/NRN OK EWD INTO WRN MO...
LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM MAY
RESULT IN SUFFICIENT MOISTENING TO ALLOW MINIMAL ELEVATED
INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP BY EVENING.  THUS...A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED TO ISOLATED/WEAK THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO EXIST
ACROSS PARTS OF KS/WRN MO AND VICINITY...MAINLY AFTER 27/00Z.

..GOSS.. 03/25/2006








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