[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 301653
SWODY2
SPC AC 301652

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1052 AM CST MON JAN 30 2006

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S HSE 30 NNE EWN
15 NE RZZ 30 SSW RIC 20 N RIC 35 NE NHK ACY 40 SE NEL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE MS/TN
VALLEYS THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD AND THEN MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST DURING TUESDAY. SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STRONGLY DYNAMIC UPPER TROUGH WILL OCCUR OVER ERN NC/SERN VA AREAS
THROUGH TONIGHT. RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING COASTAL LOW WILL THEN TRACK
NEWD INTO THE ATLANTIC AND SOUTH OF THE NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS.

IN THE WEST...STRONG AND PROGRESSIVE TROUGH SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND
DEAMPLIFY SLOWLY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER
STRONG PACIFIC STORM WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WA COAST BY LATE IN
THE DAY 2 PERIOD...EARLY WEDNESDAY.

...MID ATLANTIC-EARLY TUESDAY....
INTENSE DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NC
OUTER BANKS AND VA CAPES EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AS MID LEVEL TROUGH
AXIS PIVOTS ACROSS THESE AREAS AND TAKES ON NEGATIVE TILT. IN
CONJUNCTION WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW NEAR THE COAST...MOISTURE
FLUX AND SLOPED/ISENTROPIC LIFT OCCURRING FROM THE GULF STREAM
WWD/INLAND ACROSS THE COAST MAY SUPPORT WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION.
WEAK/LIMITED INSTABILITY AND RAPID EWD PROGRESSION OF THE STRONGER
FORCING SUGGESTS THAT ANY STORMS THAT FORM WILL PROBABLY MOVE
OFFSHORE BY NOON.

..CARBIN.. 01/30/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM