[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 300559
SWODY2
SPC AC 300558

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2006

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S HSE 35 WNW ECG
35 E RIC 25 SSW DOV ACY 50 SSE JFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CAG 10 S FCL
15 WNW SPD 15 N DHT 10 ESE TCC 50 N 4CR 25 N GNT 40 SSW 4BL 15 N U28
VEL 45 NNE CAG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST...

UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIT OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST VERY EARLY DAY2
FORCING DEEPENING SFC LOW WELL OFFSHORE BY 18Z.  IT APPEARS WARM
SECTOR MAY ACTUALLY BE EAST OF THE VA/NC COAST BY THE START OF THE
PERIOD WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION NORTH OF THE SFC LOW THE PRIMARY
FORCING FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION FROM VA INTO NJ.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL
QUICKLY EXIT THE REGION AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADS EAST.

...CNTRL ROCKIES TO TX...

ACTIVE FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS WILL YIELD ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS CO/NM DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...DIGGING
INTO WEST TX BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT
AND MOISTENING ALONG/BEHIND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL ZONE WILL ENHANCE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CO INTO NERN NM.

LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE
ACROSS TX DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS LLJ BECOMES FOCUSED OVER ERN
TX.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A VERY STRONG LAYER OF INHIBITION
WILL SPREAD ATOP MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER OVER ERN TX EFFECTIVELY
SUPPRESSING ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY3
PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 01/30/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM