[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 281715
SWODY2
SPC AC 281714

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 AM CST SAT JAN 28 2006

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S 7R4 30 ENE MCB
35 ENE JAN 40 ENE GWO 30 E JBR 30 E VIH 10 ESE UIN 30 E MLI 25 NE
SBN 30 E FDY 15 SSW CMH 55 SE LUK 35 SW LOZ 30 S TYS 15 NNE AND 30 N
CAE 20 WSW FAY 40 ENE RWI 55 E ORF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE DAB 25 SW ORL
40 SSW SRQ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GULF COAST STATES...
AN UPPER-TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS STATES SATURDAY NIGHT WILL LIFT
QUICKLY NEWD AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE LARGER CNTRL US TROUGH.
AHEAD OF THE EXITING TROUGH...A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...EXTENDING SWD ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION AT 12Z SHOW STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR AT LEAST A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT.
HOWEVER...AS THE TROUGH PULLS NEWD AWAY FROM THE REGION...MODEL
FORECASTS DECREASE LIFT SUBSTANTIALLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE GULF
COAST STATES. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A RAPID DECREASE IN CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY INITIATE AGAIN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO SFC
HEATING...WEAKENING LIFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT
THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. IF A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS
DEVELOP...THE MOST LIKELY AREA WOULD BE IN THE FL PANHANDLE WHERE
SFC DEWPOINTS MAY REACH THE MID 60S F. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE WIND
DAMAGE WITH ANY THREAT DECREASING QUICKLY BY EVENING.

..BROYLES.. 01/28/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM