[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 280553
SWODY2
SPC AC 280552

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1152 PM CST FRI JAN 27 2006

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S 7R4 15 W PIB 20
NE MEI 30 E CBM 20 WSW MSL 10 WNW MKL 30 NE JBR 50 NE UNO 30 E COU
30 NNW UIN 15 SW MLI 20 SSW RFD 25 NNW BEH FNT 60 E MTC 15 E FKL 10
ENE LBE 20 NE EKN 15 WSW BKW 40 NW TRI 25 N TYS 45 SSE TYS 15 NNE
AND 30 N CAE 20 WSW FAY 40 ENE RWI 55 E ORF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E DAB 45 SW SRQ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRL/ERN GULF COAST...

IMPRESSIVE SRN ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT ACROSS
THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION INTO THE TN VALLEY EARLY IN THE PERIOD. 
STRONG HEIGHT FALLS...ROUGHLY 150M IN 12HR...WILL SPREAD DOWNSTREAM
AS SPEED MAX LIFTS NEWD TOWARD THE DELMARVA REGION LATE.  STRONGEST
KINEMATIC RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE WILL OCCUR WELL NORTH OF ANY
MEANINGFUL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WHICH WILL BE
CONFINED TO THAT REGION FROM THE CNTRL GULF COAST INTO THE FL
PANHANDLE.  AS A RESULT...TRAILING COLD FRONT AND WEAKENING WARM
ADVECTION WILL LIKELY PROVE THE MAIN IMPETUS FOR DEEP CONVECTION
FROM SRN AL INTO GA/NRN FL.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST NEARLY SATURATED LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS...LOWEST 1-3KM/MODESTLY STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WILL
EXIST NEAR THE GULF COAST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. IT APPEARS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS THIS REGION FROM LATE NIGHT
ACTIVITY...POSSIBLY IN THE FORM OF A BROKEN SQUALL LINE.  ALTHOUGH
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES DO NOT LOOK PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE...IT
APPEARS STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL HOWEVER SUPPORT AT LEAST
LOW PROBABILITIES FOR POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS OR PERHAPS A
TORNADO.  ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN AS CONVECTION ENCOUNTERS
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE CONTINENTAL AIRMASS OVER SERN GA/NERN FL
PENINSULA.

..DARROW.. 01/28/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM