[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 171712
SWODY2
SPC AC 171711

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2006

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE CRE 40 N EWN 45
NNW ORF 30 W DOV 25 SSW ABE 35 S MSV 35 W BDL 25 ENE BDL 15 N EWB 60
E ACK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WSW UIL 25 WNW HQM
25 E AST SLE 15 SSE EUG 35 NNW MFR 25 NNW MHS 30 ENE RBL 55 NW TVL
45 SW TVL 30 NW MER 25 SE SJC 55 W MRY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN NC THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND...

UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT NEWD NEGATIVELY TILTED THROUGH THE CAROLINAS
AND ATLANTIC SEABOARD EARLY WEDNESDAY. AT THE START OF THE PERIOD
THE ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM A SURFACE LOW OVER
SERN CANADA SWD THROUGH THE NE U.S. AND INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS. A
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE MID ATLANTIC SWD THROUGH ERN
NC. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN VERY LIMITED WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR FROM
COASTAL NC NWD THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND. HOWEVER...A FORCED BAND OF
PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION WITH LITTLE IF ANY LIGHTNING SHOULD BE IN
PROGRESS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. THIS ACTIVITY WILL EXIST IN AN
ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG SHEAR AND AN 80+ KT LOW LEVEL JET. POTENTIAL
MAY EXIST FOR SOME OF THIS MOMENTUM TO BE TRANSFERRED DOWN TO THE
SURFACE WITHIN THE HEAVIER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS. HOWEVER...THE STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND VERY WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE
POTENTIAL.

..DIAL.. 01/17/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM