[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 100530
SWODY2
SPC AC 100529

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST MON JAN 09 2006

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NNW ERI 20 NNE DUJ
40 NNW BWI 10 NNW NHK 30 SE RIC 25 NE RDU 25 N AGS MAI 15 NE CEW 25
NE GZH 30 S ANB 20 NE RMG TYS 30 E JKL 10 NW HTS 20 WSW CMH 25 NE
FDY 20 NE MTC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NNE 63S 20 NE ALW
70 ENE RDM 50 NE MFR 25 NNW 4BK.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PACIFIC NW...

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL BEGIN TO AMPLIFY OVER
THE PACIFIC NW. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ATTENDING THE THERMAL
TROUGH AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT AUGMENTED BY OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL
SUPPORT AREAS OF CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LIGHTING
STRIKES DURING THE DAY. 


...SERN U.S THROUGH MID ATLANTIC AND OH VALLEY...

AREAS OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE ONGOING EARLY WEDNESDAY WITHIN
PRE-FRONTAL ZONE OF ASCENT FROM PARTS OF THE SERN STATES NWD INTO
THE OH VALLEY. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD THROUGH
THE OH VALLEY AND NERN U.S. DURING THE DAY...BECOMING INCREASINGLY
DISJOINTED FROM THE HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE OVER THE SERN
STATES. RISING HEIGHTS AND MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE SHOULD GRADUALLY
SPREAD EWD INTO THE SERN STATES IN WAKE OF THIS FEATURE AND RESULT
IN A DECREASE IN OVERALL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY PERSIST FARTHER NWD WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT
ATTENDING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO PARTS OF THE UPPER OH
VALLEY...MID ATLANTIC AND NERN STATES INTO THE AFTERNOON. SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY MAY DEVELOP OVER THE OH UPPER VALLEY FOR ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STRIKES WHERE THE THERMAL TROUGH INTERSECTS THE LOW LEVEL
MOIST AXIS AND ESPECIALLY IF ANY SURFACE HEATING DEVELOPS.

..DIAL.. 01/10/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM