[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 141640
SWODY2
SPC AC 141639

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1039 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2006

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
VERY LARGE POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH AT UPPER LEVELS IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SWD ACROSS THE WRN HALF OF THE CONUS THIS PERIOD. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A LESS ZONAL/MORE SWLY FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE ERN 2/3 OF
THE CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
SHOULD INITIALLY EXTEND FROM ERN CANADA/THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION
SWWD INTO OK.  THOUGH THE NRN PORTIONS OF THIS FRONT WILL PROGRESS
EWD ACROSS ERN CANADA AND THE GREAT LAKES...FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY FROM THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGION WSWWD INTO
OK.

...THE MIDWEST FROM ERN MO INTO WRN OH...
LIMITED GULF MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO ASCEND ISENTROPICALLY NWD INTO
THE OH VALLEY REGION THIS PERIOD...AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW BACKS TO A MORE
SLY DIRECTION WITH TIME AHEAD OF LARGE UPPER TROUGH.

THOUGH WARM SECTOR AIRMASS S OF SURFACE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN
CAPPED...STEEPER ISENTROPIC ASCENT NEAR AND N OF SURFACE FRONT MAY
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS BY EVENING WITHIN
LARGER AREA OF PRECIPITATION MAINLY N OF THE OH RIVER. WEAK
INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE ANY THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.

..GOSS.. 02/14/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM