[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 281729
SWODY2
SPC AC 281728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2005

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW CAR 25 W 3B1
25 NW CON 15 WNW POU 35 NW AVP 40 WNW ELM 55 N ROC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW FHU 25 SSW FLG
30 S BCE 45 WNW 4HV 50 WSW CAG 30 NNE 4FC 30 WNW LIC 15 SSW LHX 50 N
ROW 80 SSE ELP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NW LRD 20 SE JCT
30 ESE BWD 35 S DAL 40 NNW GGG 20 NNW GWO 40 N HSV 20 ENE LOZ 20 NE
BLF 55 SSE WAL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NERN U.S...

STRONG HEIGHT FALLS...ON THE ORDER OF 200M IN 12HR...WILL SPREAD
ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER IN ADVANCE OF WELL DEFINED UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  THIS FEATURE WILL MAINTAIN A SHARP COLD FRONT
THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE HUDSON VALLEY BY MID DAY...INTO NEW
ENGLAND BY 00Z/30TH.  AN OTHERWISE FAVORABLE SEVERE WEATHER REGIME
WILL BE IMPEDED BY POOR BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND WEAK
LAPSE RATES.  EVEN SO...STRONG KINEMATIC FIELDS SUGGEST A NARROW
LINE OF FORCED SHOWERS WILL EVOLVE ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT SURGES
FROM UPSTATE NY...INTO NRN NEW ENGLAND.

...ELSEWHERE...

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG TRAILING COLD FRONT WHERE
LARGE SCALE SUPPORT WILL PROVE NEGLIGIBLE...FROM THE SRN
APPALACHIANS...SWWD INTO THE WRN GULF COAST REGION.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL BE STRONGLY INFLUENCED BY DIURNAL HEATING AND CLOSELY TIED TO
THE LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES SEWD.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE 4-CORNERS REGION
BENEATH UPPER LOW THAT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD DURING THE PERIOD. 
COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL PROVE BENEFICIAL IN STEEPENING
LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT FOR STRONGLY DIURNAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.

..DARROW.. 09/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.