[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 280553
SWODY2
SPC AC 280552

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2005

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW LRD 35 SSW SAT
15 ESE TPL 45 SE PRX 45 W MEM 50 NNW CSV 15 WSW ROA 45 S WAL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW FHU 20 NE PRC
10 E BCE 40 ENE PUC 55 SW CAG 10 E EGE 25 SW COS 10 N RTN 35 ESE 4CR
15 SSW ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A FAST-MOVING UPPER-TROUGH OVER THE WRN US WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE INTO
THE PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. IN
RESPONSE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY
INTO THE SERN STATES ADVECTING RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER INTO
THE SRN AND ERN US. ENOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD BE PRESENT
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE COASTAL
AREAS OF THE SERN US. HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO BE WEAK WITH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT DECREASING
DURING THE DAY AS THE UPPER-TROUGH MOVES EWD AWAY FROM THE SRN US.
THE LACK OF MOISTURE AND SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING
TROUGH WILL NOT BE FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS WHERE UPPER-LEVEL FORCING AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ARE
FORECAST TO BE A BIT STRONGER. HOWEVER...DUE TO LIMITED LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...DECREASING LIFT AND WEAK SHEAR...NO SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
IS EXPECTED THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 09/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.