[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 260541
SWODY2
SPC AC 260540

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2005

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W ONM 30 SSE GCN
25 ESE SGU 45 ESE ELY 20 NNE ENV 10 SSE BYI 20 NNE IDA 10 WSW COD 35
NW GCC 30 E PHP 50 SSW MHE 10 E OFK BIE 35 ENE ICT 25 SE END 30 NNW
FSI 40 ESE PVW 50 SSW CVS 40 W ONM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE PSX 20 S NIR
40 W NIR 30 ENE COT 25 ESE HDO 10 N SAT 25 E AUS 30 SE LFK 35 E MCB
DHN 55 NNE AYS 25 NNW CHS 45 ESE ORF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED TO ADD THUNDER LINES

...CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY TAKING SHAPE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST WILL SHIFT EWD MONDAY REACHING THE PLAINS STATES BY MONDAY
NIGHT. BEHIND THE RIDGE...A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-TROUGH WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE WRN STATES AND SLIDE EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES MONDAY NIGHT
CAUSING THE UPPER-RIDGE TO FLATTEN OVER THE PLAINS BY TUESDAY. IN
RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A STRONG LOW-LEVEL
JET WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS WRN KS AND THE TX PANHANDLE. THIS
WILL TRANSPORT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NWD INTO THE REGION ALLOWING
ELEVATED INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP OVER A CAPPED AIRMASS. AS THE
UPPER-TROUGH APPROACHES TUESDAY NIGHT...INCREASING ASCENT AND LIFT
FROM THE LOW-LEVEL JET MAY BE ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED CONVECTIVE
INITIATION. IF A FEW STORMS CAN INITIATE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE
MAIN THREAT WOULD BE HAIL DUE TO THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY...STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE SHEAR FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE
ACROSS NEB...KS AND THE TX PANHANDLE.

..BROYLES.. 09/26/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.