[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 260532
SWODY2
SPC AC 260531

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2005

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY TAKING SHAPE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST WILL SHIFT EWD MONDAY REACHING THE PLAINS STATES BY MONDAY
NIGHT. BEHIND THE RIDGE...A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-TROUGH WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE WRN STATES AND SLIDE EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES MONDAY NIGHT
CAUSING THE UPPER-RIDGE TO FLATTEN OVER THE PLAINS BY TUESDAY. IN
RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A STRONG LOW-LEVEL
JET WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS WRN KS AND THE TX PANHANDLE. THIS
WILL TRANSPORT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NWD INTO THE REGION ALLOWING
ELEVATED INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP OVER A CAPPED AIRMASS. AS THE
UPPER-TROUGH APPROACHES TUESDAY NIGHT...INCREASING ASCENT AND LIFT
FROM THE LOW-LEVEL JET MAY BE ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED CONVECTIVE
INITIATION. IF A FEW STORMS CAN INITIATE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE
MAIN THREAT WOULD BE HAIL DUE TO THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY...STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE SHEAR FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE
ACROSS NEB...KS AND THE TX PANHANDLE.

..BROYLES.. 09/26/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.