[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Thu Oct 27 05:35:58 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 270534
SWODY2
SPC AC 270533

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2005

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE SAD 25 NNE SOW
45 ESE PGA 30 SSE 4HV 25 W GJT 25 SSE ASE 35 W TAD 60 WSW TCC 55 WNW
CNM 15 E DMN 45 NE SAD.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN ROCKIES...

RESIDUAL BOUNDARY MOISTURE WILL LINGER AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF
DOMINANT SFC RIDGE WEDGED INTO TX...EVENTUALLY RETURNING NWD ACROSS
NRN MEXICO INTO THE SRN ROCKIES REGION AHEAD OF UPPER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...FEW
HUNDRED J/KG...WILL DEVELOP LATE IN THE PERIOD FROM SRN NM INTO THE
4-CORNERS REGION FOR DEEP CONVECTION.  LATEST THINKING IS ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVOLVE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...HOWEVER
LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD IN ASSOCIATION
WITH UPPER TROUGH AND COVERAGE OF TSTMS MAY ACTUALLY INCREASE DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 10/27/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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