[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 260527
SWODY2
SPC AC 260525

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2005

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW P07 30 N MRF
40 W CNM 45 N ROW 30 NNW CVS 40 W CDS 65 N ABI 55 ENE JCT 45 N NIR
40 SSE PSX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...TX...

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES THE TREND OF SRN ROCKIES UPPER
TROUGH DIGGING SEWD BENEATH PLAINS RIDGE TOWARD THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE WARM
ADVECTION DOWNSTREAM ATOP COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS
ENTRENCHED OVER TX.  IT APPEARS EARLIER NAM GUIDANCE WAS TOO
AGGRESSIVE IN BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION OVER DEEP SOUTH TX WITH
LATEST DATA AND OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS SUPPORTING THE IDEA OF SFC
RIDGE AXIS REMAINING ALONG THE TX COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.  ANY
DESTABILIZATION INLAND WILL BE MEAGER AT BEST...BUT LIKELY
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED-SCT THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING/DEVELOPING SEWD
IN RESPONSE TO GREATEST ZONE OF ASCENT.

..DARROW.. 10/26/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.