[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 250448
SWODY2
SPC AC 250448

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CDT MON OCT 24 2005

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N 4FC 15 SW COS 40
SSE LHX 40 NW GAG 10 WSW CSM BWD 30 NNW JCT 30 NE FST 20 NNE ROW 25
W ABQ 25 SW CEZ 25 ENE CNY 30 WSW CAG 20 N 4FC.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS...

WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE 4-CORNERS REGION INTO THE
SRN HIGH PLAINS BY 12Z/27TH.  THIS FEATURE WILL UNDERCUT HIGH PLAINS
UPPER RIDGE AND TURN SEWD TOWARD CNTRL TX LATER IN THE WEEK.  GIVEN
THE DOMINANT SFC RIDGE IN PLACE EAST OF THE ROCKIES...BOUNDARY LAYER
MODIFICATION/MOISTENING WILL BE SLOW AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.  AS A RESULT...WEAK WARM ADVECTION AND
MOISTENING DUE TO ASCENT WILL BE THE PRIMARY SOURCE OF INSTABILITY
FOR POSSIBLE CONVECTION DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY...FEW HUNDRED J/KG MUCAPE...FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IF LIFTING A PARCEL IN THE 800-700MB
LAYER...ESPECIALLY AFTER DARK ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...OR OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

..DARROW.. 10/25/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.