[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Oct 24 06:03:39 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 240601
SWODY2
SPC AC 240600

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT MON OCT 24 2005

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SLC 35 E GJT 25 WNW
LVS 15 SSE 4CR 10 E TCS 30 E PHX 35 NW BLH 15 NNE NID 15 WNW BIH 35
ESE LOL 45 NNE EKO SLC.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

UPPER LOW OVER THE ERN PACIFIC WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS CA TO A
POSITION SIMILAR TO CURRENT TROUGH OVER NRN AZ.  THIS UPSTREAM
FEATURE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND UNDERCUTTING UPPER
RIDGE IN PLACE OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.  DESPITE WEAK POTENTIAL
INSTABILITY...SBCAPE VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 100-200J/KG...IT APPEARS
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL PROVE
FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICALLY FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS FROM SRN NV INTO NWRN NM.  THIS REGION WILL
ALSO RESIDE ON CYCLONIC SIDE OF WELL DEFINED UPPER JET AXIS WHICH
SHOULD AID IN LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND SUPPORT FOR ISOLATED-SCT
THUNDERSTORMS.

..DARROW.. 10/24/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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