[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 231729
SWODY2
SPC AC 231728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2005

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW
SRQ 55 ESE DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW PIE 55 ESE
JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W TPH 25 N LAS 50
WNW EED 15 NNW DAG 35 W NID 40 SSW FAT 20 N MER 25 S TVL 70 S NFL 15
W TPH.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL/SRN FL...

...SYNOPSIS...
DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY
THROUGH MON.  HRCN WILMA WILL CONTINUE ACCELERATING NEWD FROM FL TO
OFFSHORE NC BY EARLY TUE AS IT PHASES WITH THE ERN CONUS TROUGH. 
UPSTREAM...HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL EXIST WITH AN UPPER
RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  UPPER LOW CURRENTLY SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES WEST OF KSFO WILL DIG SEWD INTO CNTRL/SRN CA LATE MON
AS STRONGER GULF OF AK TROUGH ADVANCES SEWD TOWARD BRITISH COLUMBIA.
 
...CNTRL/SRN FL...
NHC/TPC/MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE BEEN TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND A 12Z MON
LANDFALL OF HRCN WILMA ACROSS SWRN FL. SPIRAL RAINBANDS WILL BE
ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD OVER MOST OF CNTRL/SRN FL WITH
ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL/DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND A TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR MINI-SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES.  THE CENTER OF WILMA
SHOULD ACCELERATE OFF THE FL EAST COAST BY EARLY AFTN AND INTO THE
SWRN ATLANTIC WATERS BY EVENING.  THE SEVERE THREAT...
CONSEQUENTLY...WILL DIMINISH THROUGHOUT MON AFTN AS WILMA MOVES
OFFSHORE.  BUT...TRAILING CONFLUENCE BANDS MAY SUPPORT A FEW TSTMS
WITH GUSTY WINDS INTO LATE AFTN ACROSS THE ERN PART OF SRN FL.

....SRN CA/WRN NV AREA...
LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK AND INCREASE ACROSS SRN CA/WRN NV MON
EVE/NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW.  INCREASING DCVA WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR INCREASING CONVECTION MON NIGHT...PRIMARILY OVER
THE SW FACING SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS WHERE UPSLOPE ENHANCES UVV. 
ISOLD TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...THOUGH LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE
WILL LIKELY BE A NEGATIVE FACTOR.

..RACY.. 10/23/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.