[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 220526
SWODY2
SPC AC 220525

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 AM CDT SAT OCT 22 2005

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE DUG 50 W SAD
55 SSE IGM 35 WNW IGM 10 SSW SGU 30 NNW PGA 45 WSW ALS 40 W RTN 40
SE LVS 45 NNE ROW 40 NNW MAF 35 SE MAF 50 SE P07.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW PIE 20 NNW
DAB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL...

HURRICANE WILMA IS NOT EXPECTED TO APPROACH SRN FL UNTIL LATE IN THE
DAY2 PERIOD...OR PERHAPS ON DAY3.  AT THIS TIME THERE IS TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS TO TIMING AND POTENTIAL LANDFALL LOCATION TO
WARRANT A RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS SRN FL.  FOR MORE INFO ON WILMA
REF LATEST HURRICANE FORECAST FROM NHC.

...SWRN U.S...

SRN CA UPPER TROUGH SHOULD EJECT SLOWLY EWD ACROSS AZ INTO THE SRN
ROCKIES BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL COOLING AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES WILL PROVE MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF AZ INTO
NM...ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.  DOWNSTREAM...WARM
ADVECTION ATOP COOLER UPSLOPE BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS MAY ENHANCE
ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL MUCH OF THE PERIOD. 
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR SERN NM AND FAR WEST TX SUGGEST WEAK ELEVATED
BUOYANCY IF LIFTING A PARCEL BETWEEN 800-700MB...LIKELY SUFFICIENT
FOR LIGHTING WITH STRONGER UPDRAFTS.  WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT
INTENSITY OF THIS ACTIVITY.

..DARROW.. 10/22/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.