[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 221716
SWODY2
SPC AC 221715

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2005

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW
PIE 30 SE DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE CTY 50 SSE
JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE DUG 50 W SAD
55 SSE IGM 35 WNW IGM 10 SSW SGU 30 NNW PGA 45 WSW ALS 40 W RTN 40
SE LVS 45 NNE ROW 40 NNW MAF 35 SE MAF 50 SE P07.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL/SRN FL...

...SYNOPSIS...
TRANSITION INTO A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL BE NEARLY
COMPLETE BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND WITH A COLD TROUGH IN THE ERN
HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND A RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST.  THE DEEPENING
TROUGH WILL EFFECTIVELY DISLODGE HRCN WILMA AND ACCELERATE THE
SYSTEM ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY.  AT THE
SURFACE...A FRESH SURGE OF CP AIR WILL ACCOMPANY A STRONG SHORTWAVE
TROUGH ROTATING THROUGH THE PARENT TROUGH...REACHING THE OH VLY AND
DEEP S BY EARLY MONDAY.  THIS FRONT WILL BE PRECEEDED BY THE CURRENT
FRONT MIGRATING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND NRN FL.  CONTINENTAL PARCEL
TRAJECTORIES OVER MOST OF THE COUNTRY WILL PRECLUDE SEVERE TSTMS ON
SUNDAY...EXCEPT ACROSS PARTS OF FL.

...CNTRL/SRN FL...
NHC/TPC FORECAST GUIDANCE TAKES THE CENTER OF HRCN WILMA VERY NEAR
THE FL SW COAST BY 12Z MON.  ASSOCIATED STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL 
LIKELY EXPAND THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM ACCELERATES AND
BEGINS EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITIONS.  IN THIS SITUATION...THE TORNADO
THREAT WOULD INCREASE DOWNSTREAM EARLIER THAN TYPICALLY EXPECTED AND
NECESSITATES AN UPGRADE TO SLGT RISK.

..RACY.. 10/22/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.