[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Sat Nov 19 17:16:08 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 191712
SWODY2
SPC AC 191711

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2005

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW CTY 20 W GNV 15
WSW JAX 20 NW SSI 35 ENE SAV 55 ESE CHS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL...
A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER-TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL US WILL CONTINUE
DIGGING SSEWD TOWARD THE GULF OF MEXICO AS AN UPPER-LOW CLOSES OFF
OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS TONIGHT. IN RESPONSE...A SFC LOW WILL DEVELOP
IN THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO AND A WARM FRONT WILL ORGANIZE IN SRN FL
AND LIFT NWD DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. AS SFC TEMPS WARM ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON ACROSS SRN AND CNTRL FL. HOWEVER...THE
UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVER FROM TROPICAL STORM GAMA MAY IMPEDE
DESTABILIZATION SOME OVER FL. IN ADDITION...THE STRONGER VERTICAL
SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER-TROUGH WILL REMAIN OFF
THE WEST COAST OF FL. AS A RESULT...INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PROFILES
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION.

..BROYLES.. 11/19/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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