[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 101729
SWODY2
SPC AC 101728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CST THU NOV 10 2005

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W MRF GDP ALM DMN
15 SE TUS 15 SE PHX LAS ENV JAC WRL 10 WNW VTN 10 SSE ANW EAR HLC 10
ENE GAG 30 ESE PVW 30 S 6R6.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E BLI 30 SSE SEA
50 WNW AST.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

VIGOROUS JET STREAK/SHORT WAVE TROUGH...EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONGER
MORE PROGRESSIVE NORTHERN BRANCH OF POLAR WESTERLIES...WILL PROGRESS
INLAND ACROSS THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE TODAY INTO
FRIDAY.  EASTWARD ACCELERATION OF SOUTHERN STREAM CLOSED LOW INTO
CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS ALREADY APPEARS UNDERWAY IN RESPONSE TO
THIS FEATURE...AND SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE
EAST NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY 12Z
SATURDAY...AS NORTHERN TROUGH ADVANCES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
AS THIS OCCURS...DOWNSTREAM RIDGE IS PROGGED TO SLOWLY DEVELOP FROM
THE CENTRAL STATES INTO THE EASTERN U.S...WHILE AMPLIFIED TROUGH
SLOWLY PROGRESSES AWAY FROM THE ATLANTIC COAST.

...PLAINS...
SURFACE RIDGING OVER WESTERN GULF COASTAL AREAS WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN...AND A LIMITED RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE INTO THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS MAY OCCUR DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. 
HOWEVER...GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARMING PROGGED
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL SEEMS LIKELY TO REMAIN LOW.

...FOUR CORNERS STATES...
SCATTERED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE SUPPORTED BY
FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH OROGRAPHY AND WEAKENING SOUTHERN STREAM
CLOSED LOW.  DESTABILIZATION/THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE NEAR MID-LEVEL
COLD CORE OF UPPER SYSTEM MAY BECOME FAVORABLE FOR A FEW STRONGER
CELLS WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL...WHICH COULD BRIEFLY APPROACH OR
EXCEED SEVERE LIMITS.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
BENEATH COLD MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ASSOCIATED WITH NORTHERN BRANCH
TROUGH...WEAK TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON MAY ENHANCE
POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...MAINLY NEAR
THE OLYMPICS AND WEST OF THE NORTHERN CASCADES.

..KERR.. 11/10/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.