[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Thu Nov 3 17:00:40 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 031632
SWODY2
SPC AC 031631

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1031 AM CST THU NOV 03 2005

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W TOL 20 NNE CLE
30 S YNG 20 SSE HLG 40 NNW JKL 20 W HOP 20 NW POF 10 E VIH 45 NW ALN
30 WNW DNV 20 W TOL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
CYCLONIC...MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE CONUS
THROUGH THE DAY 2 PERIOD WITH SEVERAL LOW-AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS REGIME.  IN THE LOW-LEVELS...PRIMARY SYNOPTIC
BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL BE MAINTAINED FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES SWWD
THROUGH THE CNTRL PLAINS AND THEN WWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN.

...OH VALLEY...

03/12Z SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS INTO LOWER MS VALLEY
INDICATED VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ABOVE A SHALLOW NOCTURNAL
INVERSION.  NEWD ADVECTION OF THIS WARM AIRMASS IS FORECAST OVER THE
NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS AMBIENT FLOW PATTERN REMAINS SWLY. WHILE
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE LOWER/MID MS
VALLEY...AIR MASS ALONG/S OF FRONTAL ZONE WILL REMAIN CAPPED THROUGH
MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITHIN ZONE OF PERSISTENT
WAA/DEEPER-LAYER CONVERGENCE WHERE NRN EXTENSION OF SWLY LLJ
IMPINGES ON SFC-850 MB FRONTAL ZONE.

..MEAD.. 11/03/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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