[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 1 17:09:11 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 011704
SWODY2
SPC AC 011703

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CST TUE NOV 01 2005

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S EYW 50 E DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE LMT 45 SSE BKE
30 SSW DLN 35 N JAC 50 NE EVW 25 E DPG 50 SSE NFL 35 NNW SAC 40 NW
RBL 20 ENE LMT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL...

WLY FLOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA BEFORE NELY LOW LEVEL
WINDS DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO UPPER TROUGH SHIFTING EWD AND
WEAKENING.  DEEPER CONVERGENCE WILL BECOME FOCUSED OFFSHORE BUT MAY
PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR LINGERING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SERN TIP OF THE PENINSULA...THEN ALONG
ADVANCING COLD FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

...INTERIOR WEST...

DESPITE MEAGER MOISTURE ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN IT APPEARS
FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND ASCENT WILL MOISTEN PROFILES SUFFICIENTLY
FOR CONVECTION WEDNESDAY.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK UPDRAFTS
MAY DEEPEN ENOUGH FOR A FEW TSTMS DURING THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING HOURS...HOWEVER THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...SHORT-LIVED
AND SPARSE AT BEST.

UPSTREAM...SHALLOW CONVECTION OFF THE PACIFIC NW COAST MAY GENERATE
LIGHTNING LATE IN THE PERIOD AHEAD OF MORE SIGNIFICANT UPPER
TROUGH/COLD FRONT.  THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND
UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY3 PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 11/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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