[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 021714
SWODY2
SPC AC 021713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1213 PM CDT MON MAY 02 2005

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW DMN FLG SGU 55
SSE ELY U31 65 SSE NFL BIH 30 N FAT RBL 45 ESE CEC EUG SLE PDX 55 NW
63S ...CONT... 35 NW CTB WRL CPR BFF BBW EAR 40 SSW HSI 35 NNW RSL
50 ENE LAA EHA CDS MWL 55 SSW TYR 40 ESE CLL 35 SSW PSX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW PIE DAB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS FCST ACROSS CONUS...WITH
DEAMPLIFICATION OF ERN CONUS TROUGH EXPECTED THROUGHOUT PERIOD. 
NUMEROUS LOW AMPLITUDE PERTURBATION WILL CROSS CONUS IN ROUGHLY
ZONAL FLOW STREAM THAT WILL EVOLVE FROM ERN HEIGHT RISES.  SRN
STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW MOVING ONSHORE CA -- IS FCST TO MOVE
ACROSS GREAT BASIN THROUGH REMAINDER DAY-1...THEN FROM 4-CORNERS
REGION ACROSS SRN PLAINS BY END OF PERIOD.  THIS TROUGH MAY BECOME
PHASED WITH NRN STREAM TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY MOVING SWD ACROSS ERN MT.

AT SFC...LEE TROUGHING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR PORTIONS SRN/CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS BENEATH WLY/NWLY MIDLEVEL FLOW.  LARGE...SEASONALLY
STRONG...CONTINENTAL/POLAR HIGH WILL DOMINATE REMAINDER CONUS E OF
ROCKIES...WITH SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL/SRN FL.

...SW TX - RIO GRANDE VALLEY...SRN NM...
LOW LEVEL WAA WILL CONTINUE OVER SRN PLAINS AND NERN MEX -- ATOP
SWRN FRINGE OF SLOWLY MODIFYING CONTINENTAL/POLAR BOUNDARY LAYER.
EXPECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO INCREASE GRADUALLY OVER THIS REGION...A
PROCESS ALREADY UNDERWAY BASED ON SELY FLOW AND 8.5 DEG C DEW POINTS
OBSERVED IN 850 MB ANALYSIS THIS MORNING.  MEANWHILE...STRONG
VERTICAL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES BETWEEN BIG BEND AND LRD WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELL POTENTIAL WITH ANY CONVECTION THAT CAN BREAK
CAP...ESPECIALLY OVER SERRANIAS DEL BURRO RANGE OF NRN COAHUILA
WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND SFC HEATING SHOULD ME MAXIMIZED.  SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY MOVE ACROSS BORDER WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL
DURING LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. WIDELY SCATTERED/HIGH-BASED TSTMS
ALSO MAY DEVELOP OVER HIGHER TERRAIN FROM BIG BEND NWWD INTO 
S-CENTRAL NM...WITH BRIEF LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING POTENTIAL FOR
HAIL OR GUSTS NEAR SEVERE LEVELS.

..EDWARDS.. 05/02/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.