[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Mar 23 06:43:36 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 230641
SWODY2
SPC AC 230639

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CST WED MAR 23 2005

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MKO 50 E GAG 45
NE DDC 35 WNW CNK 50 ESE OMA 30 N OTM 10 E DBQ 20 S MKE TOL UNI 10 W
JKL BNA 55 WSW ARG 20 S MKO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW PIE 20 NNW MLB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N ONP 60 WNW 27U
25 WNW WRL 20 ESE CPR 15 SSW FCL ALS 35 WSW 4SL 20 SSE FLG 50 NNE
TRM 25 NNE OXR 10 WNW SMX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN KS/NCNTRL MO/WCNTRL IL...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS AND NRN OZARKS
DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT SHOULD
REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY WITH SFC DEWPOINTS ONLY REACHING THE 40S F BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. STILL...SFC HEATING AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE BOUNDARY SHOULD RESULT IN WEAK INSTABILITY WITH STORM
INITIATION POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THE LIFT FROM THIS SHORTWAVE
SHOULD BE ADEQUATE TO EXPAND CONVECTIVE COVERAGE INTO A CLUSTER OF
STORMS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR 03Z IN NRN
MO SHOW WEAK INSTABILITY STARTING ABOVE 750 MB WHICH SUGGESTS THE
STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED. HOWEVER...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD
MID-LEVEL TEMPS MAY RESULT IN A MARGINAL HAIL POTENTIAL AS THE
STORMS TRACK ENEWD INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY DURING THE LATE EVENING
HOURS.

..BROYLES.. 03/23/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








More information about the SwoDy2 mailing list