[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Fri Mar 11 17:10:16 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 111705
SWODY2
SPC AC 111704

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1104 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2005

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH DOMINANT UPPER TROUGH POSITIONED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION.  A WEAK UPPER LOW HAS RETROGRADED
OFF THE SRN CA COAST AND THIS FEATURE WILL EVENTUALLY DRIFT ESEWD
INTO NRN MEXICO POSSIBLY ENHANCING ASCENT ALONG THE BORDER OF AZ
DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD.  OTHERWISE...BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE SLOW TO
MOISTEN ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES LIMITING THE THREAT OF DEEP
CONVECTION.

...AZ...

UPPER LOW OFF THE SRN CA COAST SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE NRN BAJA
PENINSULA TOWARD NWRN PORTIONS OF MEXICO DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD.  IT
APPEARS ANY SIGNIFICANT MID LEVEL MOISTENING WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTH
OF THE BORDER...THUS LIMITED CLOUD COVER WILL RESULT IN STRONG
HEATING ACROSS MUCH OF THE SWRN U.S.  DESPITE STEEP LAPSE RATES IT
APPEARS MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TOO SPARSE TO WARRANT ANY MEANINGFUL
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS REGION.

..DARROW.. 03/11/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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