[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 101709
SWODY2
SPC AC 101709

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CST THU MAR 10 2005

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S
SAV 65 SSW AGS 10 SW AGS 30 NW CAE 30 ESE DAN 45 W ORF 35 ESE ORF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W PFN 15 SE AUO 40
SE TYS 30 W BLF 15 WSW EKN MRB 35 NE BWI 25 NE SBY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE MKG 20 NNW FWA
20 N SDF 30 NW BWG 35 SSW PAH 45 NE UNO 35 WSW JEF 30 SE P35 25 E
DSM 30 NNW CID 20 NE MKE 25 SE MKG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N MLB 25 N PIE.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE ERN CAROLINAS...

...ERN CAROLINAS...
ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING SEWD FROM THE
CORN BELT/GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY AND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC/SERN
STATES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  RECENT INTRUSIONS OF CP AIR MASSES WELL
SOUTH INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND ATLANTIC BASIN WILL LIMIT BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.  BUT...HEATING AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES IN THE H85-H7 LAYER WITH TIME WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY TO SUPPORT CONVECTION/TSTMS.

TSTMS THAT DEVELOP COULD EVOLVE INTO SHORT LINE SEGMENTS.  PRESENCE
OF STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS THROUGH THE COLUMN /50-55KTS AT H7
AND 100+ AOA H5/ AND HIGH SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS WILL SUPPORT
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR BOWING LINE SEGMENTS
WOULD BE ACROSS ERN NC...BUT ACTIVITY COULD DEVELOP SWD INTO
CNTRL/ERN SC BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

..RACY.. 03/10/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.