[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 081729
SWODY2
SPC AC 081728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CST TUE MAR 08 2005

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S VCT 65 NNE VCT
50 SW LFK 50 NW POE 25 NE ESF MCB 35 SSE GPT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE FMY 15 NE MIA.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

PERSISTENT NW FLOW ON BACK SIDE OF ERN U.S. LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL
LIMIT BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY ACROSS THE GULF STATES DURING THE DAY2
PERIOD.  HOWEVER...STRONG HEATING ACROSS TX ALONG SECONDARY FRONTAL
SURGE WILL RESULT IN A FAVORABLE LAPSE RATE PROFILE FOR CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT.  MARGINAL MOISTURE WILL PREVENT SIGNIFICANT
DESTABILIZATION BUT LIKELY SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
AHEAD OF UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

INCREASING WARM ADVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED ACROSS
SOUTH FL WILL INCREASE ASCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. 
THE MODELS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY HELPFUL IDENTIFYING ANY MEANINGFUL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG WSWLY FLOW.  ALTHOUGH
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY MIGHT EXIST ABOVE
850MB TO WARRANT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

..DARROW.. 03/08/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.