[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Mar 8 04:13:13 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 080535
SWODY2
SPC AC 080534

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CST MON MAR 07 2005

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW PSX 45 ENE CLL
45 N GGG 35 ENE TXK 35 WNW GLH 25 SE JAN 30 SSW MOB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NW GGW 50 W Y22 40
W RAP 25 WSW WRL 55 SW MQM 55 ENE BKE 30 NNE 4OM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 80-90 KT MID-LEVEL JET STREAK OVER
THE CNTRL PLAINS AT 09/12Z WILL TRANSLATE SEWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES...EVENTUALLY PHASING WITH WEAKER SYSTEM IN SUBTROPICAL BRANCH
OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
MEANWHILE... NEXT UPSTREAM DISTURBANCE WILL DIVE SEWD ACROSS CNTRL
CANADA AND INTO THE NRN PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

IN THE LOW-LEVELS...SURFACE LOW ATTENDANT TO CNTRL PLAINS SYSTEM
INITIALLY OVER THE ARKLATEX AT 09/12Z WILL DEVELOP SEWD INTO THE
NERN GULF WITH TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSHING SEWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. FARTHER N...SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM
SASKATCHEWAN INTO MN WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING SWD THROUGH
THE NRN ROCKIES AND NRN PLAINS STATES.

...E TX INTO LOWER MS VALLEY...
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN QUITE LIMITED AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW
AND COLD FRONT WITH DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 40S. HOWEVER...
STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND INCREASED FORCING FOR ASCENT
AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
TSTM DEVELOPMENT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...NRN ROCKIES INTO NRN HIGH PLAINS...
INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIVING SEWD
THROUGH S-CNTRL CANADA WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK AIR MASS
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. A FEW
TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME ALONG SWD-MOVING COLD FRONT WITH
AREAL COVERAGE AND STORM INTENSITY LIMITED BY VERY MARGINAL
INSTABILITY.

..MEAD.. 03/08/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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