[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Mar 7 05:03:46 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 070607
SWODY2
SPC AC 070606

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 AM CST MON MAR 07 2005

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S
AQQ 15 WSW AYS 20 SE FAY 35 N HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W PFN 40 SE AND 40
S MRB 15 NNW ILG 25 ENE ACY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE FCL 45 ESE LIC
35 SSW OKC 35 NNE DAL 40 SSE SEP 30 SW BWD 35 NW SJT 50 ENE HOB 60
WSW TCC 45 E GJT 40 ESE CAG 10 ENE FCL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW MRF 40 W P07
45 NNW DRT 35 WSW COT 40 WSW ALI 30 SSE CRP.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE COASTAL CAROLINAS SWD
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA...

...SYNOPSIS...
INTENSIFICATION OF DEEP...MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL OCCUR OVER THE
ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY AND ERN CANADA THROUGH THE DAY 2 PERIOD WITH A
BROAD REGION OF CYCLONIC FLOW BEING MAINTAINED FROM THE NRN PLAINS
THROUGH THE SERN STATES. UPSTREAM SYSTEM OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AT
08/12Z WILL ALSO AMPLIFY AS IT DIGS SEWD INTO THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS
TUESDAY NIGHT.

IN THE LOW-LEVELS...RAPIDLY DEEPENING COASTAL LOW WILL DEVELOP NWD
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM JUST OFF THE DELMARVA INTO SERN QUEBEC
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WHILE TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSHES SEWD THROUGH
THE FL PENINSULA BY 09/00Z. FARTHER W...LOW ATTENDANT TO NRN HIGH
PLAINS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP SEWD TOWARD THE ARKLATEX WITH ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT MOVING SWD THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS REGION.

...COASTAL CAROLINAS SWD THROUGH THE FL PENINSULA...
STRONGLY-FORCED PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT
THE ONSET OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT SWWD
INTO THE ERN FL PNHDL. WHILE INFLOW AIR MASS IS FORECAST TO BE ONLY
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE...DEGREE OF LARGE-SCALE FORCING IN CONJUNCTION
WITH QUITE STRONG AMBIENT WIND FIELDS /OWING TO PROXIMITY OF 100-110
KT MID-LEVEL JET STREAK ACROSS THE AREA/ SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS AND/OR BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. SRN EXTENSION OF THIS SQUALL LINE WILL
 MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA TUESDAY WITH A CONTINUED THREAT
OF DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...PRIOR TO COLD FRONT
MOVING OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT.

..MEAD.. 03/07/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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