[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Mar 2 05:33:14 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 020655
SWODY2
SPC AC 020654

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 AM CST WED MAR 02 2005

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S P07 40 NE FST 10
ENE HOB 50 NE ALM 25 WNW ABQ 10 NNE GUP U17 35 WNW PUC 25 N EVW 15
SE RWL 25 NNW FCL 35 SE LIC 30 N LBL 50 WSW P28 25 N PNC 35 WSW CNU
35 NNW SZL 40 SSW UIN 15 N STL 30 NNE POF 50 SW JBR 20 NW HOT 20 N
GGG 35 WSW POE 35 ENE BTR 15 SE GPT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE A WRN RIDGE AND ERN
TROUGH...THOUGH SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL NEAR THE W COAST BY THE END
OF THE PERIOD. IN ADDITION...VORT MAX IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES -- THROUGH THE MEAN RIDGE POSITION -- THIS
PERIOD.

MODELS SUGGEST THAT A SRN STREAM VORT MAX SHOULD BE CROSSING THE TX
COAST INTO THE WRN GULF EARLY IN THE PERIOD...WITH WEAK SHORT-WAVE
RIDGING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS IN ITS WAKE.  THIS COMBINED WITH
LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE / INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE -- AND PARTICULARLY SEVERE THREAT -- ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.
 THOUGH VORT MAX CROSSING THE ROCKIES SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO DIURNAL
STORMS OVER THE ROCKIES AS WELL AS AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SLY FLOW
/ WARM ADVECTION DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD...INSTABILITY
SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY LIMITED TO PRECLUDE APPRECIABLE SEVERE
THREAT.

..GOSS.. 03/02/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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