[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 260605
SWODY2
SPC AC 260605

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0105 AM CDT TUE JUL 26 2005

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW IPL 15 ESE TRM
10 S DAG 45 SSW LAS 45 SSW GCN 75 S 4BL 40 S MTJ 20 E EGE 45 E DGW
55 WSW RAP 40 NNE SHR 25 NE HLN 80 NNW FCA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW ANJ 30 WNW GRB
40 NNW VOK 25 N MCW 35 SW OTG 50 W EAR 10 SSE HLC 25 SE LBL 40 ENE
TCC 15 N PVW 10 ENE CDS 25 SW OKC 15 SE SGF 15 WNW SLO 20 W CMH 20 E
BGM 40 W BGR 20 N CAR.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE MID-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND ERN CONUS WILL MOVE
SLOWLY EWD THIS PERIOD...AND WILL REMAIN THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE
ALOFT ACROSS THE CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD INITIALLY EXTEND
FROM NEW ENGLAND SWWD ACROSS THE OH / TN VALLEY REGION INTO W TX
WILL CONTINUE SEWD.  BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...THIS FRONT SHOULD
EXTEND FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION WSWWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES INTO SRN TX.

...SRN NEW ENGLAND S TO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND WW TO THE TN VALLEY...
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST INVOF FRONT THROUGH THE
PERIOD.  WITH AIRMASS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY
AFTERNOON...STORMS SHOULD INTENSIFY.  HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT
STRONGER FLOW ALOFT SHOULD REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE OF
BOUNDARY...THUS LIMITING POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED / SEVERE
CONVECTION.  THOUGH A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS / HAIL...DEGREE OF THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT SLIGHT
RISK UPGRADE ATTM.

...CO FRONT RANGE...
MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION AND MODEST / VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT MAY
SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER STORMS INVOF THE FRONT RANGE DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  ANY THREAT FOR MARGINAL HAIL / LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS
SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED.

...NRN PLAINS / UPPER MS VALLEY...
WEAK FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SWD ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH
MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION ALONG FRONT ANTICIPATED DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  A FEW STRONGER STORMS NEAR PEAK HEATING MAY BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING MARGINAL HAIL / LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS...AIDED BY MODERATE
NWLY FLOW ALOFT.  ANY SEVERE THREAT HOWEVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LIMITED...AND SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING.

..GOSS.. 07/26/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.