[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 120558
SWODY2
SPC AC 120557

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2005

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE MOT 35 SSE GDV
25 E WEY 35 WSW MQM 40 SW 27U 50 WNW 27U 25 SW MSO 30 NNW CTB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N BML 10 NNE RUT
15 SW POU 20 NE ACY ...CONT... 65 SW TUS 35 E INW 45 N CEZ 30 ESE
ASE 20 SW GLD 40 SSW HSI 15 WNW SPW 40 NE IWD 80 NNE MQT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS...
THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE OH AND TN VALLEYS
WEDNESDAY WITH THE SYSTEM REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING
DISORGANIZED...FORECAST SOUNDINGS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SUGGEST SHEAR
PROFILES ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE UPPER-LOW WILL BE ENHANCED ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT A ISOLATED MULTICELL SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT
SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL WITH ANY SEVERE THREAT CONCENTRATED NEAR PEAK
HEATING.

...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
THE NAM AND GFS SOLUTIONS DEVELOP A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEDNESDAY OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND MOVE THE FEATURE EWD INTO THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LIFT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH SHOULD
SUPPORT SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT WEDNESDAY EVENING ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING EWD ACROSS MT. EARLY EVENING FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ACROSS CNTRL MT WEDNESDAY SHOW LARGE TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS
WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES ABOVE 50 KT ACROSS MOST OF MT. THIS
SUGGESTS A THREAT FOR ISOLATED HIGH-BASED SEVERE STORMS MAY EXIST.
HOWEVER...MODEST INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT MARGINAL
AS A STORM CLUSTER MOVES ENEWD ACROSS ERN MT INTO FAR NW ND DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

..BROYLES.. 07/12/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.