[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 110541
SWODY2
SPC AC 110540

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W EFK 10 W BID.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E DUG 20 WNW FMN
30 W ASE 10 SW LAR 40 WNW ABR 20 ESE INL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN US...
LATEST GUIDANCE FROM THE HURRICANE CENTER PLACES THE REMNANTS OF
DENNIS OVER THE MID-MS VALLEY TUESDAY. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY MOVE NWD ACROSS THE REGION WITH REDEVELOPMENT
MOST LIKELY IN AREAS WHERE SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION OCCURS.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGESTS SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE STORMS SOUTH OF THE UPPER-LOW CENTER WHERE FLOW WILL BE
WLY ALOFT. IN ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES EAST OF THE LOW
CENTER SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER OH AND TN VALLEYS.

...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH CENTER WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WITH NLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PUSH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WWD INTO THE MTNS OF SE
WY...CO AND NRN NM. AS SFC TEMPS HEAT UP TUESDAY MORNING...STORMS
SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOVE SLOWLY SWD PARALLELING
THE FRONT RANGE AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS IN THE AFTERNOON. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW DIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS
WHICH COULD BE FAVORABLE FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

..BROYLES.. 07/11/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.