[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Jan 25 17:31:29 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 251731
SWODY2
SPC AC 251730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2005

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM ONP 10 NW EUG LMT 35
NNE SAC 55 S BIH LAS INW 85 ESE SOW 45 WSW ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE PATTERN FCST TO CONTINUE THROUGH DAY-2
PERIOD...AMIDST SLOWLY DEAMPLIFYING LARGE SCALE WAVE TRAIN THAT HAS
FEATURED ERN TROUGH AND WRN RIDGE.  STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW
EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER OK -- WILL ACCELERATE ESEWD
OFF GA/SC COAST DURING PERIOD AMIDST CONFLUENT SYNOPTIC SCALE FLOW
ALOFT. SFC COLD FRONT -- ASSOCIATED BOTH WITH THIS FEATURE AND WITH
NRN STREAM TROUGH CROSSING GREAT LAKES/MID-ATLANTIC REGIONS -- WILL
SWEEP SEWD ACROSS MS VALLEY...APPALACHIANS AND SRN PLAINS.  FRONT
SHOULD REACH NRN FL AND NRN GULF BY END OF PERIOD. 
MEANWHILE...MERIDIONALLY ELONGATED TROUGH NOW OFFSHORE PACIFIC COAST
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND AROUND 27/00Z.

...W COAST AND SW...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS POSSIBLE MAINLY DURING AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING.  NRN STREAM SEGMENT OF LANDFALLING UPPER TROUGH
WILL FEATURE TIGHTER HEIGHT GRADIENT AND SOMEWHAT STRONGER MIDLEVEL
DPVA/LIFT...BUT WEAKER LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY AS IT MOVES ACROSS
PACIFIC NW.  MEANWHILE SRN STREAM PORTION CONTRIBUTES TO INLAND
DESTABILIZATION AS FAR E AS SRN BASIN-AND-RANGE REGION.  EXPECT
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES TO STEEPEN THROUGHOUT FIRST HALF OF
PERIOD...AND LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO INCREASE ESPECIALLY FROM LOWER
CO VALLEY EWD BECAUSE OF  SFC HEATING. HEATING WILL BE MORE LIMITED
ACROSS MUCH OF CA...BUT WITH STRONGER FORCING ALOFT.  NET RESULT
SHOULD BE 50-300 J/KG MLCAPE IN POCKETS ACROSS MUCH OF GEN THUNDER
AREA.

..EDWARDS.. 01/25/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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