[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Sun Jan 16 16:48:00 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 161648
SWODY2
SPC AC 161647

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1047 AM CST SUN JAN 16 2005

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
LARGE-SCALE PATTERN THIS FORECAST PERIOD IS CHARACTERIZED BY A
AMPLIFIED LONG WAVE TROUGH IN THE E AND RIDGING OFF THE CA COAST.
SEVERAL SMALLER-SCALE FEATURES ARE FORECAST TO TRANSLATE THROUGH
THIS MEAN PATTERN...THE MOST NOTABLE OF WHICH BEING SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER THE PACIFIC NW WHICH WILL AMPLIFY AS IT PROGRESSES
SEWD THROUGH THE ROCKIES. IN THE LOW-LEVELS...EXPANSIVE SURFACE
RIDGE WILL BUILD SEWD THROUGH THE ERN THIRD OF THE NATION WITH
CHINOOK WARM FRONT DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS.

INCREASED LARGE-SCALE FORCING AND STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES MAY
SUPPORT A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO MONDAY AFTERNOON. THREAT APPEARS
TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT INCLUSION OF GENERAL THUNDER AREA. 

ELSEWHERE...SHOWERY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD ALONG THE PACIFIC NW COAST OWING TO PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL WAA
AND OROGRAPHIC ASCENT. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT BETTER
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...WITH ONLY
A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST.

..MEAD.. 01/16/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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