[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 061718
SWODY2
SPC AC 061717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CST THU JAN 06 2005

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW HQM 25 E AST 30
ENE OTH 35 NNE 4BK 35 SE CEC 45 SSE EKA 10 WSW UKI 30 NNE SFO 15 SE
SJC 40 NW PRB 20 ESE SMX 10 S OXR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW PSX 40 SW CLL
55 E ACT 35 N TXK 25 WNW LIT 25 WNW MEM 15 N MSL 10 NNW BHM 40 W SEM
35 SSE MCB 40 WSW HUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GULF COAST...

NEUTRAL TO WEAK HEIGHT RISES WILL DOMINATE THE LARGE SCALE UPPER
PATTERN ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER
 TROUGH EJECTS EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE OH VALLEY. 
FAVORABLE WARM ADVECTION ACROSS SERN TX INTO THE TN VALLEY WILL
PROVE MOSTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND FORCING FOR
POSSIBLE DEEP CONVECTION.  MOISTENING PROFILES THROUGH A DEEP LAYER
AND MARGINAL LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN THICK CLOUD COVER LIMITING
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION.  ELEVATED CONVECTION AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THIS RECOVERING AIRMASS BUT SHOULD
STRUGGLE TO ORGANIZE ALONG WEAKLY FOCUSED BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM SERN
TX INTO NRN MS.

...WEST COAST...

THERMAL PROFILES WILL GRADUALLY COOL ALONG THE WEST COAST AS MEAN
UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS TOWARD THE WRN U.S.  SUSTAINED ONSHORE FLOW/LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE...ENHANCED AT TIMES AHEAD OF MULTIPLE SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS...SHOULD ALLOW LOW TOPPED CONVECTION TO SPREAD INLAND FROM
SWRN WA TO CNTRL CA COAST.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN SPARSE
ALTHOUGH POSSIBLY MORE CONCENTRATED ALONG THE ORE COAST INTO NWRN
CA.

..DARROW.. 01/06/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.