[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Fri Jan 7 06:56:57 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 070654
SWODY2
SPC AC 070653

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CST FRI JAN 07 2005

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N AST 20 SSE AST
25 NE ONP 40 NNE 4BK 25 SE EKA 30 SW UKI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW 7R4 40 N MCB
35 ENE CBM 40 WNW CHA 10 NW TYS 15 S HSS SPA 25 N AGS 60 E MCN 15 NW
AQQ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN US...
WSWLY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CONUS ON DAY 2.
A SFC HIGH WILL LIKELY BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY WITH A
COLD FRONT DRAPED FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES SWWD THROUGH THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. CONVERGENCE AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD BE
ADEQUATE AHEAD AND ALONG THE BOUNDARY FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. AT
THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...WIDESPREAD CONVECTION COULD BE ONGOING
ACROSS MS AND AL. A MID-LEVEL JET CURRENTLY OVER THE SERN STATES IS
EXPECTED TO SHIFT NWD ALLOWING MID-LEVEL WINDS TO WEAKEN ACROSS MS
AND AL WHICH SHOULD LIMIT LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION. AS A
RESULT...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS AL INTO GA AND
DECREASE IN COVERAGE...BECOMING ISOLATED DURING THE DAY.

...WEST COAST...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF THE PACIFIC NW COAST WILL PROVIDE STRONG
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ALONG THE ENTIRE
WEST COAST. STEEP LAPSE RATES AROUND THE CORE OF THE UPPER LOW MAY
PROVIDE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAINLY NEAR THE
COASTS OF NRN CA...ORE AND WA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

..BROYLES.. 01/07/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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