[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 041718
SWODY2
SPC AC 041717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CST TUE JAN 04 2005

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW TPL 15 SW ABI
55 SSE CDS 10 ESE CSM 40 NNE PNC 40 SSW IRK 10 WSW BMI 30 S FDY 25 S
ZZV 15 WNW 5I3 15 WNW CHA 55 W JAN 25 NNW LFK 40 NW TPL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ARKLATEX TO LOWER OH VALLEY...

CENTRAL PLAINS UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT INTO THE MS VALLEY REGION
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD ALLOWING WEAK SFC WAVE TO LIFT
NEWD ALONG BOUNDARY INTO EXTREME SRN IND.  IT APPEARS SLIGHT
INTENSIFICATION AND A MORE DEFINED SFC LOW SHOULD EVOLVE WITH TIME
AS LLJ FOCUSES FROM NRN TN INTO SRN OH.  WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS
THE WARM SECTOR AND THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THE COLD AIRMASS PLUNGING
SWD INTO TX SUGGEST CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL BE LIMITED TO AREAS
ALONG/NORTH OF BOUNDARY FROM THE RED RIVER REGION...NEWD.  NEAR-SFC
BASED CONVECTION MAY ATTEMPT TO DEVELOP FROM ERN AR INTO WRN TN BY
LATE AFTERNOON BUT MARGINAL LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT
UPDRAFT STRENGTH/ORGANIZATIONAL POTENTIAL.  THE MAIN CONCENTRATION
OF CONVECTION THIS PERIOD SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN WARM ADVECTION ZONE
MAINTAINING ELEVATED NATURE OF STORMS JUST NORTH OF SFC LOW TRACK.

..DARROW.. 01/04/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.