[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Jan 5 05:48:26 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 050548
SWODY2
SPC AC 050547

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1147 PM CST TUE JAN 04 2005

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
ETA/GFS ARE SIMILAR IN THE GENERAL EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN INTO THE DAY 2 PERIOD. SWLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL FROM THE SWRN STATES/NRN MEXICO TO THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST...AS AN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE SERN STATES AND MEAN
TROUGH POSITION REMAINS OVER THE WRN STATES.  MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE
TROUGH INITIALLY OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL TRACK NEWD TOWARD NEW
ENGLAND ON THURSDAY...WHILE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES EWD TOWARD
THE ERN SEABOARD AND OFFSHORE BY 12Z FRIDAY.  THE WRN PORTION OF
THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG OR JUST
OFF THE CENTRAL TO WRN GULF COAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS DEVELOPS EWD IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT. COLD AND STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS IS
EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS.  LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE OFFSHORE OF WA/ORE AND CENTRAL/SRN CA LATE
IN THE PERIOD AS ONE PACIFIC TROUGH APPROACHES SRN CA...AND A SECOND
VERY COLD TROUGH /500 MB TEMPERATURES AT -30 TO -36C/ DIGS SSEWD OFF
THE BC/PAC NW COAST.

..PETERS.. 01/05/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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