[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Fri Feb 25 05:40:43 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 250659
SWODY2
SPC AC 250658

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2005

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SBA 35 WSW MER 40 WSW
RBL 50 E ACV 15 WSW MHS 45 SE MHS 40 S TVL 70 NW BIH 55 NW TPH 15
SSE ENV 55 W VEL 45 SSW LAR 25 NNE AKO 30 WSW LBF 30 SSE EAR 35 SSE
DDC 30 E DHT 10 ENE CVS 30 ESE CNM 20 SSW P07 ...CONT... 20 WNW LRD
40 SSE SAT 40 NE LCH 25 WNW MSY 20 NNW BVE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT FLOW PATTERN FORECAST TO PERSIST THIS PERIOD AS UPPER LOW
MOVES EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL / SRN ROCKIES.  COOL AIR ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD RESULT
IN SCATTERED STORMS ACROSS THE SWRN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY.

FURTHER S...SEVERAL FEATURES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE
WRN GULF REGION IN SWLY MID-LEVEL JET SE OF UPPER LOW. MODELS
GENERALLY AGREE THAT ONE SUCH FEATURE WILL MOVE ACROSS COASTAL TX
TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY / ARKLATEX REGION.  THOUGH COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO HAVE MOVED SWD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF / S OF FL BY THE
START OF THE PERIOD...WEAK SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IN THE WRN GULF
REGION ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER FEATURE SHOULD ALLOW WRN PORTIONS OF
THIS BOUNDARY TO RETREAT NWD AS A WARM FRONT.  THOUGH FRONT SHOULD
REMAIN S OF THE GULF COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...SCATTERED ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT COASTAL TX THROUGH THE DAY...AND INTO LA BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

OVERALL HOWEVER...LIMITED INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE THREAT
IN EITHER OF THESE AREAS...AND COOL / STABLE AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL
FURTHER N ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS.

..GOSS.. 02/25/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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