[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 240608
SWODY2
SPC AC 240606

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 AM CST THU FEB 24 2005

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW CTY 25 E JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW VBG 45 E MRY 50
N FAT 55 ESE BIH 35 SW SGU 60 E GCN 25 NNW SOW 40 NNE TUS 55 SW TUS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
NO CHANGE IN THE OVERALL UPPER FLOW REGIME EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH A COLD UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE ERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY AND
A REX BLOCK IN THE WEST.  AT THE SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE ERN TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM CNTRL FL EARLY FRIDAY
INTO THE SRN PARTS OF THE PENINSULA BY 12Z SATURDAY.

AIR MASS IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WILL MOISTEN THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...BUT MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY REMAIN LESS THAN 6.5
C/KM.  GIVEN THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS/SHOWERS...MINIMAL HEATING IS
EXPECTED AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN MEAGER INSTABILITY. TSTMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO AND MOVE ENEWD
TOWARD CNTRL/SRN FL BY FRIDAY NIGHT....BEFORE WEAKENING AS THEY
APPROACH THE MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT.  THUS...DESPITE 40-50 KTS OF
H5 FLOW...ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

MEANWHILE...REMNANT UPPER LOW/COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
LINGER OVER THE DESERT SW ON FRIDAY.  THERMODYNAMIC SET-UP WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SCATTERED DIURNAL TSTMS...PRIMARILY ACROSS CNTRL/SRN
CA INTO AZ.  DESPITE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR...RELATIVELY COLD
TROPOSPHERE COULD SUPPORT SMALL HAIL IN THE STRONGER STORMS.

..RACY.. 02/24/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.