[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Fri Feb 4 16:17:09 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 041617
SWODY2
SPC AC 041616

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1016 AM CST FRI FEB 04 2005

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW FHU TUS 10 SE
INW DRO ALS 40 W RTN 25 W LVS 4CR ALM GDP FST 20 SE P07.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN STATES...
BAJA UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME AN OPEN WAVE AND EJECT ENEWD
INTO THE SWRN STATES ON SATURDAY.  COLD POCKET ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH COUPLED WITH POSSIBLE HEATING IN WAKE OF THE
WARM CONVEYOR WILL DESTABILIZE THE COLUMN SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM
SERN AZ INTO NM.  THERMAL BUOYANCY MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW TSTMS
...PRIMARILY ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING.  

STRONGER TSTMS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO SONORA/CHIHUAHUA WHERE MOST
UNSTABLE/SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL BE LOCATED.  THESE STORMS WILL
SPREAD EWD TOWARD FAR W TX LATE IN THE PERIOD AND ARE EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN BEFORE THEY CROSS THE RIO GRANDE. 

...SRN PLAINS...
A COUPLE OF ISOLD LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR ACROSS CNTRL/N TX
SATURDAY NIGHT AS LOW-MIDLEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION INCREASES AHEAD
OF THE APPROACHING IMPULSE.  MUCAPE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AND TSTM
PROBABILITIES SHOULD REMAIN SUB-10 PERCENT.

..RACY.. 02/04/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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