[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 22 07:06:35 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 220702
SWODY2
SPC AC 220701

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0101 AM CST THU DEC 22 2005

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
TROUGH IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS THIS PERIOD AS
SHORT-WAVE ENERGY EXITS THE MEAN RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES AND MOVES
THROUGH THE NRN AND CENTRAL PLAINS REGION.  IN RESPONSE...SURFACE
LOW IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN WHILE MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS LOW WILL SURGE RAPIDLY SEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH A SHALLOW/HIGHER THETA-E BOUNDARY LAYER EXPECTED TO
SPREAD NWD INTO THE WRN GULF COAST REGION AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF
THE FRONT TURNS MORE SLY.  HOWEVER...AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION
SUPPORTIVE OF CONVECTION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY. 


ANY LIGHTNING THIS PERIOD WOULD LIKELY BE LIMITED TO THE
NEUTRAL/MINIMALLY-UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT NEAR MID-LEVEL HEIGHT/THERMAL
TROUGH AS IT CROSSES THE NRN ROCKIES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE
PERIOD.  HOWEVER...POTENTIAL COVERAGE APPEARS INSUFFICIENT TO
WARRANT INCLUSION OF A THUNDER AREA.

..GOSS.. 12/22/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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