[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 22 17:27:52 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 221724
SWODY2
SPC AC 221723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CST THU DEC 22 2005

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A PRIMARILY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE CONUS
THROUGH THE DAY 2 PERIOD. ON A FINER SCALE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EMBEDDED IN THE WLY-S IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY IN THE NRN ROCKIES
TONIGHT. AS THE WAVE PASSES BY LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO HELP INITIATE VERY ISOLATED CONVECTION IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF WY AND CO AS TEMPS WARM FRIDAY LATE MORNING INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...VERY LIMITED MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP ANY
LIGHTNING COVERAGE BELOW THE 10 % THRESHOLD. 

IN SOUTH TX...THE NAM DEVELOPS ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR CONVECTION FOR
THE DAY 2 PERIOD. HOWEVER...THIS APPEARS TO BE OVERDONE CONSIDERING
SFC DEWPOINTS ARE STILL IN THE 40S AND 50S F ACROSS THE REGION. IN
ADDITION...A CAPPING INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE AND
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS SOUTH TX. 

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED
FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 12/22/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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