[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 121700
SWODY2
SPC AC 121659

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CST MON DEC 12 2005

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW 6R6 65 WSW SJT
35 NNW MWL 20 S BVO 30 SSE SGF 40 W MEM 60 E MLU 30 S ESF 10 NNW LBX
10 SSE LRD.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN PLAINS THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY...

A SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS BY
TUESDAY EVENING AS LEE CYCLOGENESIS COMMENCES WITH APPROACH OF THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER THE SWRN STATES. OFFSHORE TRAJECTORIES
ALONG THE WRN GULF WILL PERSIST UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER...BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INCREASING SLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW SHOULD ALLOW
PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
60S TO BEGIN RETURNING NWD THROUGH S AND S CNTRL TX. ONLY MODEST MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE MOIST AXIS WITH
MUCAPES GENERALLY AOB 500 J/KG. INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND
THETA-E ADVECTION ACCOMPANYING THE LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD CONTRIBUTE
TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM CNTRL/ERN TX NWD
INTO ERN OK TUESDAY EVENING. ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EWD INTO THE LOWER
MS VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A HAIL THREAT.

..DIAL.. 12/12/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM