[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 070636
SWODY2
SPC AC 070635

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 AM CST WED DEC 07 2005

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S MOB 30 E CEW 40
S MCN 25 ENE AGS 15 NNW FAY 20 WSW ORF 40 ENE WAL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A CLOSED LOW OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL DIG SEWD REACHING THE MID-MS
VALLEY BY THURSDAY. BANDS OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL SPREAD
NEWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AS THE THROUGH APPROACHES THE
REGION. IN RESPONSE...A SFC LOW WILL TAKE SHAPE IN THE NRN GULF OF
MEXICO WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. SFC
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S F ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH
SFC HEATING AND LOW-CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO INITIATE
SCATTERED STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE
DURING THE DAY AS THE RIGHT QUADRANT OF A 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET
AFFECTS THE REGION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR CNTRL FL THURSDAY
AFTERNOON SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 50 TO 60 KT WITH STRONG
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN THE 850 TO 700 MB LAYER. THIS COULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN MATERIALIZE. WHETHER ENOUGH
INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP FOR A SEVERE THREAT REMAINS HIGHLY
QUESTIONABLE ATTM. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED.

..BROYLES.. 12/07/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM