[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Dec 6 17:20:50 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 061717
SWODY2
SPC AC 061716

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1116 AM CST TUE DEC 06 2005

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE CRP 20 NE PSX
30 N BPT 30 NW BTR PNS AAF 40 SE AAF ...CONT... 50 SSW CTY PIE 55 W
FMY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

COLD AIR AT LOW-LEVELS IS NOW ENTRENCHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION
EAST OF THE ROCKIES...WITH A REINFORCING COLD INTRUSION NOW ONGOING
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES.  THIS WILL SURGE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY...AS STRONG MID/UPPER JET STREAK /NOW
DIGGING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ NOSES EASTWARD OUT OF THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS AND OZARK
PLATEAU REGION.  UPPER FEATURE WILL SUPPORT EVOLVING CLOSED LOW OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH DOWNSTREAM FLOW...IN BOTH POLAR AND
SUBTROPICAL BELTS OF WESTERLIES...BECOMING BROADLY ANTICYCLONIC
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN QUARTER OF THE NATION.

...GULF OF MEXICO INTO SOUTHEASTERN U.S...
ISENTROPIC ASCENT...ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
REGIME...BENEATH FAVORABLE RIGHT QUADRANT OF UPPER JET ENTRANCE
REGION...WILL INCREASE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE GULF STATES
DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.  THIS SHOULD SUPPORT INCREASING CLOUD
COVER/PRECIPITATION...BUT POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SEEMS
MINIMAL INLAND OF IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS DUE TO WEAK LAPSE RATES
AND WEAK MOISTURE RETURN.  MODIFICATION/MOISTENING OF BOUNDARY LAYER
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT...HOWEVER...TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  THIS APPEARS MOST LIKELY
NEAR/NORTH THROUGH EAST OF A WEAK WAVE DEVELOPING ON SURFACE
FRONT...AS IT PROGRESSES FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

..KERR.. 12/06/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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