[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 1 17:16:49 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 011713
SWODY2
SPC AC 011712

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1112 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N UIL 25 NNE HQM
30 NW SLE 20 E OTH 50 WNW 4BK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BIH TPH 55 ESE ELY
U28 CEZ 40 WNW GUP IGM NID 65 NW NID BIH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE LBX 15 ENE UTS
40 N LFK 30 ESE TXK 15 N PBF 25 SW DYR 10 ENE MKL 45 SSE MKL 20 WNW
TUP 25 ESE GWO 20 NNE JAN 15 S JAN 35 W PIB 30 S PIB 15 NNW MOB 35
ENE MOB 10 ESE PNS 55 SSE PNS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LESS AMPLIFIED AND PROGRESSIVE MID LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE CONUS IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH LIFTING FROM THE
GREAT LAKES TO NRN NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY. IN THE WEST...A NUMBER OF
LOW-AMPLITUDE PERTURBATIONS WITHIN FAST ZONAL FLOW REGIME WILL
PRODUCE A BROAD REGION OF WEAK HEIGHT FALLS FROM THE GREAT BASIN TO
THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.

LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS IS FCST TO OCCUR OVER ERN CO AIDED BY LARGE
SCALE HEIGHT FALLS AND STRONG ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS.
SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SCATTERED/SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES
AS MID LEVEL WAVE MOVES FROM SRN GREAT BASIN TO THE FOUR CORNERS
AREA DURING THE DAY. ADDITIONALLY...STRENGTHENING WARM CONVEYOR BELT
AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LOW/TROUGH...FROM THE NWRN GULF COAST NEWD
TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...COULD AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
ELEVATED TSTMS IN WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

ELSEWHERE...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST BENEATH COLD MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CONVECTION WITH SOME CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
TSTMS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE.

..CARBIN.. 12/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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