[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 071710
SWODY2
SPC AC 071709

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT THU APR 07 2005

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N ONP 45 NE LMT 50
WNW WMC 40 NW ENV 60 WNW BPI 55 SW BIL 45 SW MLS 35 W REJ 35 NE CDR
55 W GLD 35 SSE ALS 50 NNE INW 40 SW LAS 25 WNW FAT 35 WSW UKI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE MOB 20 SSW TCL
45 NNE HSV 20 WSW LOZ 25 NNE BKW 35 SW DCA 25 ENE SBY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS GA DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD
AS STRONG ASCENT SPREADS EWD ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. SFC HEATING AND 60+ SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD RESULT IN
LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY. THIS COMBINED WITH THE STRONG LIFT
SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER-LOW SHOULD PROMOTE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BY MIDDAY. STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE PRESENT SOUTH
OF THE UPPER-LOW WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN ABOUT 30 KT OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR. THIS COMBINED WITH COLD TEMPS ALOFT...UNIDIRECTIONAL
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A
WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL THREAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE THREAT
WILL BE DEPENDENT HOW MUCH INSTABILITY DEVELOPS AND HOW STRONG THE
SHEAR IS FRIDAY ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL FL. FOR THIS REASON...AN
UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

...GA/CAROLINAS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY FILL TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS THE LOW
MOVES EWD ACROSS GA INTO THE ATLANTIC DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD.
STRONG LIFT AND COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LOW SHOULD
RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY ACROSS THE SRN
APPALACHIAN MTNS AND ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAINS. HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGER CELLS DUE TO THE COLD AIR ALOFT ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS WHERE INSTABILITY IS LOCALLY MAXIMIZED. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY
WEAK SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD KEEP THE HAIL THREAT MARGINAL.

..BROYLES.. 04/07/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.